Thursday, August 23, 2012

Will Madrid come back and win the Supercopa?

The Spanish Super Cup isn't really the most important piece of silverware in the world, however, the phrase "If you build it, they will come" certainly applies to any Barca-Real clash as 92,000 packed Camp Nou.  The coaches may say the game doesn't matter, and that they're more worried about winning La Liga, however, you never see the "B" squad in a clasico.

Last year's Supercopa won by Barcelona became marred by an on-field brawl that may have sparked the fire to some of the most competitive Spanish football ever played between the two sides.

The first half:  absolute snoozer.  These 45 minutes would have been better spent cleaning my room, taking a nap, or better yet, watching a Europa League playoff mtach.  Not so much dazzle, Messi missed a couple chances he normally converts.  Other than that, not much action.

Nobody expected a five goal second half however.  The focus was all bestowed on the fancy runs of Iniesta, who caused all sorts of trouble for Real. 

Goal #1 came on the head of who else?  Cristiano Ronaldo, becoming the first Real player to score in four consecutive visits to Barcelona. 

Before you could blink, it was all square, and the "Real has the lead... ANDDDDD it's gone" memes were viral.  Real didn't get a touch before Mascherano found Pedro, who showed great composure to level.

Shortly after, Iniesta was brought down after Sergio Ramos brought him down after his fancy footwork drew an obvious penalty, which Messi converted. 

The 78th minute saw Iniesta do it all himself, beating Khedira, drawing two defenders before laying it off for Xavi who found the ol' onion bag to make it 3-1, and the 2nd leg seemingly wouldn't matter.


AND THEN... A WILD VALDES APPEARS.

Whether Valdes thought he was going to emulate Messi, or just forgot he was in a soccer match, we will never know... but you simply cannot play with the ball inside your box with Di Maria charging.  Plenty of time to clear with either foot, and he simply made a fool of himself.  Tackle, boom.  Goal.  3-2.  



NOW, the Supercopa is up for grabs.


Now Real simply needs to win to win the Super Cup.  (as long as they don't allow 2+ goals)

Why will they win it?  While they're at home, and will have their back, I really don't think they will.

Barcelona looked awfully strong, and with Alex Song and/or David Villa in the lineup next week, they'll be even stronger.  

Pepe was missing, however, I don't believe that'll be enough.  I see a draw, and Barca retains the trophy.


PREDICTION:  Real Madrid 1:1 Barcelona (3:4 agg)  

Monday, August 20, 2012

Premier League Roundup: The Best and Worst of Week 1

After an exciting and ultra-dramatic season last year, the 2012-13 version of the EPL has a lot to live up to.  With transfers galore over the offseason, many questions have been asked from each squad... with the most obvious of course:  How will Van Persie perform at United?  Can the title be won outside Manchester?  Who will be the most influential transfer? 

Well, after the first week of action, I believe there are even more questions that are in need of answering.   

Best showing by a transfer:  Eden Hazard

He absolutely made the most of his Chelsea debut by making an immediate impact.  An assist after two minutes on a lovely turn through to Ivanovic started his Premier League career.  In the seventh he made a lovely move to draw a penalty after he got pulled down (subsequently netted by Lampard.)  This plus a solid performance from there on before being substituted for fellow debutante Oscar earned Hazard "Man of the Match."

Most exciting game:  Manchester City 3:2 Southampton

My word.  What more can you ask for from a game?  Goals, crucial injury, drama, comebacks.  This match had it all.  The opening quarter-of-an-hour gave City a big scare, as last season's hero Sergio Aguero had to be stretchered off with an apparent knee injury, although it doesn't seem to be as serious as once thought.  I predict he'll be out 4-6 weeks.

Carlos Tevez performed up to par after an attitude change over an offseason that he got himself into significantly better shape.  The leaner and more focused Tevez netted the only tally of the opening stanza to the near post, after a beautiful run (with perhaps a whisper of offside) sent him free.

The visitors looked all but dead, as 4-0 or 5-0 looked possible.  Richie Lambert, who surprisingly started the match on the bench after winning his respective league's Golden Boot in 3 of his last 4 campaigns with Southampton, came on and scored a beauty within three minutes of coming on, sending the visiting supporters into a frenzy.

Shortly thereafter, Rangers-casualty Steven Davis made em pay on a counter attack.  City were slow to get back after their corner was cleared, leading to a 5-on-3, in which Davis slotted the ball into the lower-right corner from the left side at the top of the 18, silencing all City supporters, and the small sea of red went mad with jubilation shockingly up 2-1.

After that, City turned up the heat, owning the possession for the rest of the fixture.  Three minutes after the goal, Dzeko put home the equalizer after a scrum in the box.  

Southampton tried to hold on, but an unfortunate error by Fox landed the ball at Samir Nasri's feet, all by himself from 12 yards out, giving the home side three points with 10 minutes remaining.


Least surprising "upset":  Everton 1:0 Manchester United

Manchester United were the talk of the world after signing Robin Van Persie midweek.  All this talk has deflected attention away from their devastated back line.  Today they opened the season with two midfielders playing in the back four, as Michael Carrick played alongside Vidic in the middle, while Antonio Valencia manned the right side.  Patrice Evra has shown weakness last year on the left side, which needs revamping as well.

Fellain absolutely owned Carrick inside, and finally made him pay for it on the only goal, out-muscling him, rising up and slotting a scorching header past a helpless De Gea, who played brilliantly otherwise.      


Most surprising result:  West Brom 3:0 Liverpool

While I am not surprised with WBA earning the three points, it's the manner that they did so.  They easily were the better side in this fixture, and had the two teams swapped shirts, it would have made sense.  Liverpool looked flat and inexperienced, as they still need to adjust to coach Brendan Rodger's style of play.  It's only the first match, and they shouldn't worry.  Liverpool usually struggle against mid-table clubs and perform well against the big boys.  They have City, Arsenal, Sunderland and United their next four matches

Don't expect them to win next week however if they struggle against Hearts mid-week in their Europa play-off.


Biggest head scratcher:  QPR 0:5 Swansea

A slew of new players into QPR, a home fixture, and a Swansea side who lost their best player and their manager to Liverpool looked to be an equation for week one success.

They outshot the Swans 21-14, however, they couldn't get anything on target, as Swansea led that department 6-4.

Unfortunately for QPR, 5 of those 6 got past Robert Green.  To his credit however, QPR's defense looked all over the place, and they need to regroup and get their acts together.


Best goal:  Zoltan Gera, West Brom




Just remember, you cannot judge a season by the first week of play.  Things usually pan out around ten weeks.    

Friday, August 17, 2012

La Liga: 3rd and 4th place candidates



I don't even have to ask about who's finishing 1-2, as the gap Barcelona & Real Madrid have established in Spain has just continued to grow. 

In reality, the other 18 teams are competing for the third and fourth spots.  As many of you know, third place qualifies for the Champions League, while fourth place qualifies for the Champions League playoff.

Valencia - Valencia has finished third the last three years, but has never been close to the top two (25, 21, and 30 ponts behind, respectively.)  They showed mixed results in the Champions League, as they made a round of 16 appearance and got sent down to Europa last year (in which they reached the semifinals.)  They have brought up superstars in their system such as David Silva, David Villa, Jordi Alba and Juan Mata, and have had to get rid of to balance their checkbooks.

However, they still have a strong nucleus in Andres Guardado, Jonas, Roberto Soldado, Ever Banega, Fernando Gago, Alberto Costa, Aldi Ramo, Pable Piatti, Pablo Hernandez, and many others.


Chance of Qualifying :  85% 


Malaga -  Last year, this team somehow finished fourth, well above expectations.  In 2010, Sheikh Al Thani became the new owner, and spent, spent, spent.  However, there have been rumors stating that they may be pulling the plug on this project only two years in.

They have to make up for the loss of Santi Corzola, sold to Arsenal, and Isco will be the guy that will have to step up.  They still have a strong core that may help them do it again, but it'll take a lot.


Chance of Qualifying:  10%


Athletic Bilbao -  This team underperformed heavily (10th place) last year, but still finished only 9 points out of fourth.  They proved what they are capable of, with a Copa del Rey final, and more importantly, a Europa final, beating the likes of Lokomotiv Moscow, Manchester United, Schalke, and Sporting Lisbon en route to a 3-0 defeat at the hands of fellow countrymen Athletico Madrid.  Although Fernando Llorente is determined to leave, they still look to be in good standing for the upcoming season, and will fight for fourth.


Chance of qualifying:  40%


Sevilla - Another team that didn't do as well as they should have last year.  However, they have two Spanish-internationals (Jesus Navas, Alvardo Negredo) that have stayed for another year.  After their Euro 2012 experience, they should be coming back smarter, and more determined to have success in Spain.


Chance of qualifying:  50% 



Atletico Madrid - Victim to the overchievers (Malaga), the Europa Cup champions come back very strong, and will attack behind the likes of Falcao.  Third place is very possible, especially with a strong midfield core.  


Chance of qualifying:  65%



Predictions (Top 10):

1.  Real Madrid
2.  Barcelona
3.  Atletico Madrid
4.  Valencia
5.  Sevilla
6.  Atletic Bilbao
7.  Levante
8.  Malaga
9.  Real Betis
10.  Osasuna 

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

How the US shocked Mexico




Michael Orozco Fiscal's freak goal with 10 minutes remaining was enough for the United State's to come out of Mexico victorious for the first time in the 75-year history of the rivalry by the score of 1-0.

I, and the general population thought Klinnsman lead Team USA into the Azteca for a certain loss, crossing fingers that it would not be humiliating.  Turns out, that never became the case.

How exactly did that happen?


1.  Geoff Cameron - The new Stoke City man (on loan from Houston) had a lot to prove, not only to his country, but his new club that he deserves a shot to start at center back.  He passed with flying colors.  He absolutely shut down Chicharito, 1-on-1 and with help from Maurice Edu.  His diving deflection on a cross towards the Manchester United forward only four yards from goal turned to be one of the most crucial points of the match.

2.  Tim Howard - While the first hour or so of this match was mainly uneventful, Captain America absolutely delivered when he had to, saving a deflected shot off the line, even though he already had committed himself to the other side, showing unbelievable athleticism and awareness.  His save on Chicharito's near-post header in the final minutes blew my mind.  *An "ARE YOU SERIOUS!?!?!" moment*

3.  Chicharito - Although Chicharito provided Mexico's sole attacking option, on another day he may have had a hat-trick.  Ever since he suffered his concussion, he has been less confident heading the ball and being the firecracker he used to be.  I don't see this being an issue to worry about long-term from the Mexican stance, as he still has the knack to get behind defenders and be dangerous.  To be fair, he deserved the goal Howard stole from him.

4.  Brek Shea - When Shea came on the field in the 78th minute, the heat turned up immediately.  Jurgen Klinnsman had a lot of brass to but him in, and Shea displayed total confidence.  His first touches definitely made me watch him closely, and 2 minutes after his entrance, he set up the lone goal.  He attacked his defender, megged and passed him cleanly, and put in across the six-yard box into a sea of bodies, where (sub) Terrance Boyd backheeled the ball to the far post, where (ANOTHER sub) Orozco Fiscal applied the finishing touch.

5.  Jurgen Klinnsman - While I ripped on him all week after the 22-man roster became available for public debate, he made all the right moves.  Putting Edu alongside Cameron in the back proved to be a great move, that could possibly be something we see a lot more of.  Subbing Donovan out at halftime after he struggled (although claims of a tight hamstring were made) proved a good move.  Finally, allowing Brek Shea a chance to prove himself surprised me a lot, and paid off.  

6.  Mexico's Poor Shooting - El Tri dominated possession, and rightfully deserved a better result.  They outshot the US 19-6, mainly a result of their constant crossing (28 crosses to USA's 5) however, shots on target were tied 3-3.  Can't score if you don't test the keeper.   

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Five Reasons to Love and Hate Robin Van Persie at Old Trafford


Early reports from The Sun and Caught Offside have indicated that Manchester United have finalized talks on a 22-22.5 million pound contract to land RVP.  He comes off a league-best 30 goal season (38 in all competitions), and has obviously been the biggest the subject of world-wide transfer news for months.  However, with the good comes the bad.  Is he worth it?


PROS

1.  He Scores Goals - Without a doubt, he has proven that he is successful in ripping apart the premier league.  In his last 95 matches (domestic and international), he has scored a blistering 69 goals, nearly a 3:4 ratio.  

2.  Experience - He's been playing in the Premiership at Arsenal since 2004, and has a firm grasp of what nearly every opponent brings to the table.  He knows how to play in an environment where domestic titles and Champions League success is expected.

3.   Wayne Rooney - Rooney is one of the best strikers in the world, and is still only 26 years old.  His presence allows RVP to not have to deal with the enormous pressure of the whole team on his shoulders.  He has also matured wonderfully, only receiving one yellow card the entire EPL season last year.

4.  Versatility - RVP has proven that he can lead a team up top all by himself, or share the forward role.  Fergie won't have to worry about him stuck in one spot as he can play either side with Rooney, or even drop back to attacking midfielder if need be, as he is ridiculously good at making key passes.  HE EVEN LED THE PREMIER LEAGUE IN ASSISTS IN 2008/09.  (11)  

5.  Big Game Player - In games against United, Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham last season (10), he scored eight goals and added two assists.  The only team he didn't score against were the champions Manchester City.


CONS


1.  Injury Prone - RVP is truly made out of glass.  The Dutch even call him "Glass Ankles."  However, he's been fit since his last groin strain in February.  

04/05:  Three ankle injuries
05/06:  Knee injury, two ankle injuries
06/07:  Hip injury, metatarsal fracture, knee injury, thigh strain
07/08:  Three thigh muscles strains
08/09:  Ankle injury, hamstring injury, two groin strains
09/10:  Knee injury, severe ankle sprain (missed over five months)
10/11:   Offseason ankle injury, preseason ankle injury, flu, pulled hamstring, knee injury
11/12:  August ankle injury, groin strain

2.  Reduces Player Development - Signing RVP limits the opportunities of Bebe, Welbeck, and Chicharito to get time.  In addition, experimentation with Kagawa and Ashley Young up top would just about cease to exist.

3.  Age - He is 29 years old now, so he may have already peaked, or he may have only a few years left of solid football.  The older he gets, the more likely he is to fall off, and more likely to suffer serious injury.  

4.  Expensive Wages - With a big move, comes a big price.  In addition to the 22.5 million pound ($34.5 million) transfer fee, Manchester United will certainly have to more than double what he currently makes at Arsenal, which is 90,000 pounds (over $141,000) a week.  Early reports suggest he will make 220,000 pounds (over $345,000) a week.

5.  No Resale Value - Robin Van Persie must deliver silverware for his investment to be worth it.  No matter what happens, he'll never be worth this much again, as the combination of age and injury history won't allow a high transfer fee.  


FIFA 13 TRAILER

The trailer for FIFA 13 came out today.  With new skill games, trophys, and first touch control, this is the most realistic looking game yet.


Monday, August 13, 2012

English Premier League: Team-by-team Preview and Matchday 1 Predictions





For many years, the English Premier League has undoubtedly been the fan favorite around the world.  While not always being the best, the endless drama of the EPL and passion of the English supporters have always captured the public eye.  Transfer rumors are always abuzz twelve months of the year, and this year has proved no different.  

Last year is being hailed as the greatest season ever, and the expectations couldn't be higher.  After United seemed to have won the title on QPR's shock 2-1 lead over City, the blue side of Manchester pulled out two goals in stoppage time from Dzeko and Aguero to shock the world.  As a United fan, I still got tears in my eyes not from disappointment, but from the pure ecstasy of the moment.  That QPR-City match had all the elements of what sports are truly all about.

We welcome back Reading, Southampton and West Ham back to the party this year, as we bid farewell to Bolton, Blackburn and Wolves.  Who will stay up, who will be champions, and who is going back to the Championship?


1st

MANCHESTER UNITED - The Reds lost on goal differential last year, and much had to do with the lack of creativity in the midfield.  Paul Scholes came out of retirement last year to help, but in the end it proved not enough.  Enter Shinji Kagawa, who not only is a beast in the midfield, but a constant goal-scoring threat as well.  He is a perfect fit, not only on the field, but in cornering the Asian market, as they have let Park Ji-Sung move to QPR.  We'll see if Nick Powell can make a difference as well.  

Their defense looks to be boosted, as Vidic comes back for the first time in eight months, and Jonny Evans may be ready for opening day.  They will be without Chris Smalling for ten weeks due to a metatarsal injury.

Attacking options are many, as Chicharito, Bebe, Mecheda and Berbatov are all fantastic options behind Welbeck and Rooney, and will all see playing time.  They will be strong in attack, whether they get Van Persie/Llorente or not.

Lindegaard looks to jump De Gea for their starter, although I could see them splitting lots of time.

They have to make up a lot to the fans, as last year they crashed out of the CL and Europa play.  I can see them lifting the trophy this year, and earning a double/treble.

2011:  2nd, 28-5-5, 89 points

Key Additions:  Powell (Crewe), Kagawa (Borussia Dortmund)
Key Departures:  Michael Owen (released), Park, Fabio (QPR, loan)


2nd
 MANCHESTER CITY - It doesn't get much better than what they did last year, amid much off-field drama in Tevez.  A 6-1 drubbing of their long-heralded rivals and a 2-goal comeback in stoppage time to win the title.  They will look to repeat history, and have a great chance at doing so.  They have kept nearly all their players and are bringing in more firepower.

They have stuck to their guns in keeping Euro 2012 star Mario Balotelli, despite P$G's expensive bids.  I believe that experience will humble the young phenom, and his off-field issues will deminish, while his on-field play will just get better.

I believe success depends on the health of their players.  If Kompany can stay healthy, I can see themselves duplicating last year's heroics.

They have just signed Jack Rodwell from Everton to bolster their midfield even more.  The rumor mill suggests Mancini is looking at adding Daniel Agger, Scott Sinclair and South Korean left back Yun Suk-Young.  Even without these lads, they can push their point total near/above 90, and have some business to take care of in the Champions League.  I predict either a quarterfinal or semifinal appearance.

2011:  1st, 28-5-5, 89 points

Key Additions:  Rodwell, Emmanuel Adebayor (Tottenham)
Key Departures:  Owen Hargreaves (released), Wayne Bridge (loan, Brighton)


3rd
ARSENAL - The Gunners have been much of the talk in the offseason, with an unsettled Robin Van Persie, and a trio of star signings in Podolski, Santi Corzola and Olivier Giroud.  With or without RVP, this team will avoid the early season struggles of last year.  They finished very strong to sneak into the Champions League ahead of Tottenham.  Oxlade-Chamberlain has now had time to develop and combined with Walcott will make this team the fastest in the Premiership.  

This team has top two ability, I just don't see them threatening for the title this year, but they will keep it interesting, and could do some damage in the Champions League.  A quarterfinal would seem just.

2011:  3rd, 21-7-10, 70 points

Key Additions:  Podolski (Koln), Giroud (Montpelier), Corzola (Malaga)
Key Departures:  Denilson (loan, Sao Paulo)



4th
TOTTENHAM - While the Spurs finally got themselves into the top four last year, a shock Champions League title by Chelsea knocked them out of their CL berth, which they rightfully deserved, and will be in a dogfight for this year.

Adebayor had a part of 42% of all Tottenham's goals last year, and the Spurs have help this year that will make up for his and Luka Modric's imminent departure.  I'm very high on Glyfi Sigurdsson, as he showed what he is capable of at Swansea and in preseason (notably against the Red Bulls.)  

Jan Vertonghen is a proven winner at Ajax, and will hold it down in the back.

AVB looks keen to add more firepower in either Guiseppe Rossi, Fernando Llorente, or Yann M'Vila, though M'Vila seeks the CL this year.

Look for the Spurs to challenge for the Europa trophy, and could reach the semis or better.

2011:  4th, 20-9-9. 69 points

Key Additions:  Vertonghen, Sigurdsson (Hoffenheim)
Key Departures:  Steven Pienaar (Everton), Niko Krancjar (Dynamo Kiev), Vedran Corluka (Lokomotiv Moscow), Emmanuel Adebayor (Man City)


5th

CHELSEA - After an unexpected Champions League/FA Cup double, despite struggling all year, Eden Hazard has been much of the talk of the offseason.  While the Lille man along with Marko Marin and Oscar will undoubtedly strengthen their midfield, questions arise up top.  Will their 50-million-pound investment finally pay off (Torres)?  Will either Juan Mata or Daniel Sturridge be consistently reliable up top for them this season?  Only time will tell, as for now Chelsea have more questions than answers post-Drogba.  They can either battle for the title, or battle for a CL spot.  Truly unpredictable at this point.

I see them escaping the group stage of Champions League, only to be knocked out in the Round of 16.

2011:  6th, 18-10-10, 64 points

Key Additions:  Marin, Oscar, Hazard
Key Departures:  Kalou, Drogba, Jose Bosingwa


6th

NEWCASTLE - Quite possibly the shock of the Premiership last year, only having been in the Championship two years before.  They started the season on a tear, going the first eleven games unbeaten, and they can be a forced to be reckoned with again this season.

They are 99% locks on signing Lille defender Matthieu Debuchy and are finalizing paperwork to bring in defender Vurnon Anita from Dutch-champions Ajax.

Papiss Cisse and Demba Ba are absolute monsters in attack, Cisse with 13 goals in 13 matches and Ba with 16 in 29.  Yohan Cabaye proved to be a genius signing, and they could be singing the Champions League anthem come May.

In the Europa Cup, they should be solid, a quarterfinal would be fair.  

2011:  5th, 19-8-11, 65 points

Key Additions:  Anita (Ajax, still to be officially announced)
Key Departures:  Danny Guthrie (released), Leon Best (Blackburn)


7th
LIVERPOOL - Oh Reds.  Kenny Daglish lead them to their worst finish in nearly 60 years, and they have tried to bring their fans joy in bringing in upbeat Swansea duo Joe Allen and manager Brendan Rodgers.  With a 90% passing rate, there is a lot to be excited about.  However, it may be their other new signing in Fabio Borini that may steal their headlines and be top scorer.

Andy Carroll looks to be on his way out.

If Suarez stays and can play nice, Gerrard avoids the injury bug, and they make key signings (particularly Clint Dempsey), they can finish higher... especially if Rodgers instills a winning attitude.  If things go wrong, they could be in the bottom half.

They get the chance to play in Europe, due to their League Cup triumph.  They should be able to make the quarters there.

2011:  8th, 14-10-14, 52 points

Key Additions:  Allen, Borini
Key Departures:  Dirk Kuyt (Fenerbahce, Fabio Aurielio, Alberto Aquilani (Fiorentina)


8th
QUEENS PARK RANGERS - Another year in the Premiership, another slew of signings.  This time around however, they look deadly serious.  Though barely surviving last year, they looked at times to be able to hang around with the big boys.  

They have upgraded in every area of the field, and when you add players of Manchester United's caliber in Park Ji-Sung and Fabio (on loan), you're bound to improve.

Robert Green is certainly going to be better than Paddy Kenny was for them.

Adding Fulham's Andrew Johnson could give Cisse that bit reliability he's long been seeking beside him.

If they can field a healthy XI everytime, QPR is in for a great year.

2011:  17th, 10-7-21, 37 points

Key Additions:  Park, Fabio, Johnson, Green, Samba Diakite (Nancy)
Key Departures:  None 


9th
EVERTON - David Moyes is one of the best coaches in the Prem.  He never has much, but he always gets the best out of his players.  This year will be no different.

Despite the losses of Jack Rodwell, Joseph Yobo, and Timmy Cahill, they will move forward still relatively strong in all areas of the field.  Goalkeeper Tim Howard is still one of the best out there, and will always keep the Toffees in the match.  Fellaini is always a threat in the air, and Jelavic proved himself last year.

Welcome back Steven Pienaar, a familiar face the fans will love.  We shall see if former Rangers man Steven Naismith will do well up top.  He'll get his chance.

2011:  7th, 15-11-12, 56 points

Key Additions:  Naismith, Pienaar
Key Departures:  Rodwell, Yobo, Cahill, James McFadden


10th
SUNDERLAND - Martin O'Neal led them back up from near the bottom to as high as 8th before a collapse at the end of the season, going winless in the final eight matches.  The addition of Carlos Cuellar could provide some stability in the Stadium of Light, and Frazier Campbell needs to consistently prove that he is worthy of playing at this level.  

If they score, they'll do well this season.

2011:  13th, 11-12-15, 45 points

Key Additions:  Cuellar (Aston Villa)
Key Departures:  Michael Turner (Norwich), Asamoah Gyan (Al Ain)


11th
READING - Man, I love that they're not only back in the Prem, but they bring a nice lookin squad in as well.  Remember when Steve Sidwell was the heart and soul of the club? 

They bring in plenty of EPL veterans to help them finish mid-table right out of the gate.  Notably Pavel Pogbrenyak and Danny Guthrie.


They had the best defense in the Championship last season, and could give a bunch of the top-tier teams a lot of trouble.  They are obviously a resilient bunch, going from relegation early in the season to on top of the second tier.

Can Adam Le Fondre produce at the highest level?

2011:  Championship winners

Key Additions:  Guthrie (Newcastle), Pogbrenyak (Fulham), Nickey Shorie (WBA)
Key Departures:  None


12th
FULHAM - This team is a little bit of a mess at the moment.  The Clint Dempsey war is sure to be a distraction, and they've lost some star power and familiar faces.  If they are able to keep Dempsey, obviously this ranking will jump up. 

However, Hugo Rodallega could make Fulham fans forget a little bit, as he is sure to be a star for the Cottagers.

2011:   14-10-14, 52 points

Key Additions:  Rodallega (Wigan), Mladen Petric (Hamburg)
Key Departures:  Pogrenyak (Reading), Andrew Johnson (QPR), Danny Murphy (Blackburn)


13th
WEST BROM - This team impressed enough to earn Roy Hodgson the England job, can they do it under new manager Steve Clark?  He's never managed before, and a lot of pressure will be on him early.

Ben Foster should provide some stability between the sticks, and if Peter Odemwingie can be as successful as he was last year, they should stick around for another campaign.  


They acquired Romelu Lukaku on loan, and subsequently put Chris Wood for sale.  We'll see if  his Chelsea experience has any major effects on their defense.  

2011:  10th, 13-8-17, 47 points

Key Additions:  Lukaku, Markus Rosenberg (Werder Bremen)
Key Departures:  Wood (still for sale), Nickey Shorey, Keith Andrews (Bolton), Paul Sharner


14th
SWANSEA - The Swans impressed the entire league with their display of passing under manager Brendan Rodgers.  Zyfli Sigurdsson and Joe Allen were the centerpieces that helped them to a near top-10 finish in their first season back in the Prem.

Well, this year, none of them will be back.  Danny Graham has to keep up his workload and perhaps improve on his impressive 12 goals last year.

The only good news is that they can afford to spend now, whether they will or not we shall see.  

Michel Vorm was a star with 14 clean sheets and will give them a chance to stay up. 

2011:   11th, 12-11-15

Key Additions:  Johnathon de Guzman (Villareal, on loan)
Key Departures:  Sigurdsson, Allen


15th
NORWICH CITY - Americans link Norwich to Zak Whitbread.  He has since been released.  However, they bring in stud defender Michael Turner to the squad.  That alone can help em stay up in a gritty relegation fight.

Grant Holt is an absolute star, scoring 15 goals last season.  He has 80 professional goals in 4 years and he has truly earned his stripes, starting in League 2 and working himself up the ladder every year.  Unfortunately, he is quite reckless, as he has accumulated 34 cautions and 3 expulsions in that same time.

Steven Whittaker comes over in a free transfer not wanting to be a Rangers victim.

2011  12th, 12-11-15, 47 points

Key Additions:  Turner, Whittaker
Key Departures:  Whitbread


16th
SOUTHAMPTON - The newcomers are gonna have to grit it out to stay afloat in 2012/13.  They have a plethora of goal scorers, including Rickie Lambert with 27, giving him 107 in 5 years.  He's never had a season with less than 21, and he will be crucial to their success.  They acquired Billy Sharp last year, and he had 19 as well.  Their offensive firepower may be enough to earn a few shock results.

Former Ranger Steven Davis may provide composure in the middle third, as few guys have any top flight experience.

2011:  2nd in Championship

Key Additions:  Davis
Key Losses:  None


17th

ASTON VILLA - Their motto is "prepared", the Claret and Blue should be prepared to struggle mightily this season.  They struggled to stay healthy, as many of their players went down to injury last season, including forwards Darren Bent and Gabby Agbonlahor.  

However, if anyone knows how to have success, it's new manager Paul Lambert.  With Norwich, he led them to consecutive promotions from League One to the EPL, the first time that had been done in 11 years (Manchester City.)  When he was the manager at League Two Wycombe, he led them to the League Cup semifinals, defeating Prem sides Fulham and Charlton, and earning a draw against Chelsea in the first leg of the final four.  

2011:  16th, 7-17-14, 35 points

Key Additions:  Karim El Ahmadi (Feyenoord)
Key Departures:  Carlos Cuellar, Emile Heskey


18th
WEST HAM - The Hammers being back in the top flight is definitely a welcome sight.  They lost Robert Green to QPR, and there will be a keeper battle all season between former Bolton man Jussi Jaaskelainen or young Pompey netminder Steven Henderson.

Modibo Maiga comes over from Ligue 1 Sochaux, where he tallied 24 goals in 58 matches.  

Ricardo Vaz Te has struggled in the Prem before, but broke out last year for 22 goals.  Carlton Cole is somewhat reliable with a couple 10 goal top-flight seasons in the past.

They will stay up only if they can score.

2011:  3rd in Championship (won playoff)

Key Additions:  Jaaskilainen, Maiga, Henderson
Key Departures:  John Carew, Green


19th
STOKE CITY - Besides Peter Crouch (10), the Potters struggled to score last year, being the lowest scoring them in the top flight.

A lack of attacking options could prove fatal.  No spending has been made, as Tony Pulis has been told to sell before he buys.

Last year was their worst since they were promoted, and this year isn't looking promising.  They released fan favorites Ricardo Fuller and Salif Diao.

Key Additions:  Jamie Ness (Rangers)
Key Departures:  Fuller, Diao, Johnathon Woodgate (Middlesborough)


20th
WIGAN - These guys won't be as bad as Derby was in 2007-08, but they won't have another Martinez miracle like last year where they won 7 of their last 9.  

They've let Rodallega, Diame and Kirkland leave, and have done little to replace them.  They are lucky to have one of the most underrated goalkeepers in the league in Ali Al-Habsi, cause he will likely get pelted this season.

Can Victor Moses step up and not be the off and on striker of last year?

EDIT:  Arouna Kone signed today (August 14th), and could push their ranking slightly higher.

 2011:   15th, 11-10-17, 43 points

Key Additions:  Arouna Kone
Key Departures:  Rodallega (Fulham), Kirkland (Sheffield Wednesday), Diame (West Ham)





WEEK 1 PREDICTIONS



Aresnal 2:0 Sunderland

Fulham 1:1 Norwich

QPR 2:0 Swansea

Reading 2:1 Stoke

West Brom 1:2 Liverpool

West Ham 3:1 Aston Villa

Newcastle 0:1 Tottenham
 Wigan 0:4 Chelsea

Man City 3:1 Southampton

Everton 1:3 Man United 
   
   
   
 
 
 
 

  
 

  
    
  

       

Sunday, August 12, 2012

Why Mexico Will Destroy the US on Wednesday, and be World Cup Champions in 2014



As an American Outlaw, I bleed red white and blue.  Mexico are our biggest rivals, and it is a very passionate one.  The two teams are the powers of CONCACAF, we share a border, and they absolutely hate eachother on the field.  Since their first meeting in 1934, Mexico has dominated this rivalry sporting a 33-15-12 record in 60 matches.  However, since 2005, the teams share a 4-4-2 record against eachother, proving the intensity of this rivalry.  The last time these two got together was August 10th of last year when they drew 1-1.

But the match everyone remembers is the Gold Cup title game only a month and a half before in the Rose Bowl in front of 93,420 fans, 70% supporting Mexico.  

The main story leading into the game was the resurgence of Freddy Adu.  Having seemingly disappeared from the soccer world, he was a shock substitution in the semifinal vs Panama, and immediately made an impact.  His scintillating pass to Donovan who found Dempsey for the only goal of the match earned him an unexpected start in the final.  

All looked great when the US sprung out to a 2-0 lead behind Landon Donovan and Michael Bradley strikes within 23 minutes.  However, six minutes later Pablo Barrera tallied and Andres Guardado struck seven minutes later to go into halftime level.  The second half would be some of the most intense football I've ever watched.  Five minutes after the break, Barrera got his brace to make it 3-2.  Both teams looked poised to win it in a tight back and forth game, before Gio Dos Santos scored one of the goals of the year, and maybe the most famous goal in Mexico history to date to ice the match and break the hearts of the Americans.  The match ended 4-2.



Why Mexico Will Be Dominant


SUCCESS:  Mexico came out of "nowhere" to beat mighty Brazil in the Olympics.  Now, of course, that is at the U-23 level, and I do believe Brazil has lost much of it's dominance.  But, the country is riding high off a Gold Medal, a Gold Cup, and a Pan American games title all within the last 14 months.

COACH:  Ever since Jose Manuel de la Torres took over in 2010, he has led Mexico to an utterly ridiculous 16-4-2 record in international matches, only losing to Brazil and Colombia.  

YOUTH:  In addition to the U-23s winning the Olympics, the U-17s have won the World Cup in both 2005 and 2011, and the U-20s came in 3rd, losing to Brazil.  

EXPERIENCE:  Since 1994, the Mexicans have made it out of the group stage every single time in the World Cup.  However, they have yet to the quarters since 1986.  Chicarito, Dos Santos, Hector Moreno, and Barerra have all got a World Cup under their belt.  Andres Guardado will be 27 in 2014, and it will be his third.  This combined with the youth and elder statesmen Rafa Marquez, Carlos Salcido and Gerardo Torrado could spell danger for any team standing in their way.

PASSION:  The fans are some of the absolute best in the world.  Anytime you walk into the Azteca, do not expect to win.  They are loud and passionate, they literally live and die with El Tri.  They are extremely well-traveled as well, and bring hell to any stadium, anywhere.  The players reflect that passion on the field as well, always playing their absolute hearts out. 


US-MEXICO PREDICTION

While at times Jurgen Klinsmann has looked like he knows what he's doing, he is still swapping through different lineups every game, developing players rather than going for victories.  To his credit, he posts an 8-3-5 record, however, there is no excuse for only winning 3-1 against Antigua and Barbuda, and drawing 1-1 against Guatemala in World Cup Qualifiers.  When the US played Brazil, they were absolutely smacked.  It was men against boys.  When Mexico faced off against the 5-time World Cup champs, they got out to a 1-0 lead before narrowly losing 2-1.  It was a highly competitive match, and Mexico has gotten better since.

This match is in the Azteca, and the Mexicans will be loud and proud.  The US has been absolutely dominated in Mexico, sporting a lifetime 0-1-23 record there, and hasn't scored more than one goal since 1949 (The three times they did, they lost 6-2, 7-3, and 7-2.)  Nothing is going to change Wednesday night.

MEXICO 4
USA        1



Saturday, August 11, 2012

Italian Serie A Preview + Matchday 1 Predictions

Football in Italy has had it's ups and downs lately, and coming into this season, it is no different.  More match-fixing scandals have surfaced, and they are the "Mario Balotelli" of football leagues:  Beautiful one day, in the news the next.  The country is riding a high after a shock Euro final, and will surely be impressed by the matches this upcoming season, which starts on August 25th.

My predictions are not based on any guesses as to who will be docked points this upcoming season.  Atalanta and Siena are surely to be headed towards relegation after accused of being part of 29 Serie B matches, two Coppa Italia matches and two Coppa Lega Pro ties that were supposedly fixed during the season that they were promoted (2010-11.)  I believe other teams will be docked points here and there throughout the season, as Italian football has always been somewhat scandalous (Torino has already been docked 1 point.)

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

   
1st

Juventus - After an undefeated season last year in Serie A, the black and white are looking to improve on their one trophy with a Champions League title.  With so much success in Italy, it seems to be a headscratcher why it hasn't translated into European success.  While manager Antonio Conte has been banned this season for allegedly not reporting fixed matches, I believe the players are too good and experienced to let it distract them.  Gianluigi Buffon, Giorgio Chiellini, Leonardo Bonucci, Andrea Barzagli, Andrea Pirlo, Claudio Marchisio, and Sebastian Giovinco all play on the national team, and should lead them to the top once again.  They may struggle in the first month or two, but should win the league by a comfortable margin. For Pirlo, this season could be his last serious attempt at a Euro title.  He'll want it bad.

CL Quarters looks like a lock, and a semi seems realistic.  The sky is the limit for this team.

2011:  Champions (Qualified for Champions League), 23-15-0, 84 points
Key Arrivals:  Giovinco (Parma), Paul Pogba (Manchester United), Lucio (Inter Milan), Mauricio Isla (Udinese), Kwadwo Asamoah (Udinese), Reto Ziegler (Fenerbahce)
Key Departures:  Felipe Melo (Galatasaray), Alessandro Del PieroMartin Caceres (Sevilla), Milos Krasic (Fenerbahce)



2nd

Milan - Despite losing tons of experience and star power, they are rebuilding, and because they were so far away from 3rd last year, I believe they will drop points and retain second place in Serie A.  Thiago Silva is gone, so the central defense will have to sort itself out.  They'll have to sort out who will be in the middle to hold it down and keep them up in the Champions League.  Mario Yepes and Daniele Bonera will likely start in the start, however, Philippe Mexes could solidify his place later in the season if one of them slips.  

They have a lot of money after dealing in the transfer window.  Rumors of a Kaka return are popular, and combined with Pato the addition of Riccardo Montolivo could prove deadly.  KP Boateng should step up and claim this team to be his.

The youth system looks great, especially since they've looked like the oldest team in Europe.  Stephan Al-Shaaraway looks phenomenal.

Round of 16 appearance this year in CL.  

2011:  2nd (Champions League), 24-8-6, 80 points

Key Additions:   Montolivo (Fiorentina), Sulley Muntari (Inter), Bakaye Traore (Nancy), Christian Zapata
Key Departures:  Zlatan Ibrahimovic (PSG), Silva (PSG), Alessandro Nesta (Montreal Impact), Mark van Bommel (PSV), Gennaro Gattuso (FC Sion), Clarence Seedorf (Botafogo), Massimo Oddo (retired), Filippo Inzaghi (retired), Alberto Aquilani (Liverpool)



3rd

Inter - After a disappointing 6th place finish last year in the Scudetto, Inter are primed to make a charge this year and have already done some damage in the transfer market.  They got five immediate starters in Fredy Guarin (secured from loan), Gaby MudingayiMatias Silvestre, Rodrigo Palacio, and goalkeeper Samir Handanovic, improving themselves in every position.  Despite losing Lucio, Pandev and Muntari, I believe this squad will build itself around Sneijder and push itself back into the Champions League.  

They will threaten for Europa Cup glory, being one of the strongest teams in the tournament.  I see a final in their future.

2011:  6th, (Europa, 3rd qualifying round), 17-7-14, 58 points

Key Additions:  Guarin, Mudingayi, Silvestre, Palacio, Handanovic
Key Departures:  Lucio, Pandev, Muntari, Diego Forlan (Internacional), Ivan Cordoba (retired)



BATTLE FOR EUROPE
4th

Roma - Roma will get a lot of press in the United States, now that Michael Bradley has transferred from Chievo Verona and is on a serious side.  He will immediately start for them and the Wolves should make great strides to becoming one of Italy's best teams again.  They finished 2 points outside Europa qualifying, and have their eyes set on Champions League qualifying this time around.  

Their left side will be solidified after Bradley, Federico Balzaretti, and Leandro Castan have been brought in.

The ageless Francesco Totti has been at Roma since 1992, and will continue to start up top and produce.   We'll see if Bojan sticks around.  

2011:  7th, 16-8-14, 56 points

Key Additions:  Bradley, Balzaretti, Castan, Mattia Destro (on loan from Genoa)
Key Departures:  Fabio Borini (Liverpool)  




5th

Lazio -  They have strengthened themselves this season by not letting anyone major leave, and getting Antonio Candreva back from loan.  Ederson comes over from Lyon and can be a playmaker up top.  With Miroslav Klose up top as a solo striker, and another year of experience with the same core of players, Lazio should be primed for another good year, and may hang around in the top three discussion.  Let's hope Europe doesn't slow them down. 

Quarterfinal appearance in Europe.

2011:  4th, 

Key Additions:  Mauro Zarate (on loan from Inter), Ederson, Candreva
Key Departures:  None

6th

Napoli - I'm very reluctant to say that they'll finish in 6th, cause in my heart I feel like they will have a bad season.  I could see them finishing as low as 9th.  Losing Ezequiel Lavezzi to P$G is a big disappoinment, however, the trio of Goran Pandev, Edinson Cavani and Marek Hamsik do have the capability of making Lavezzi's loss less painful.  

Morgan De Sanctis will have to play well in goal, and Juan Camilo Zuniga has to control his temper if they are to play in Europe next season.

I predict a Round of 16 appearance in Europa.

2011:  5th (Qualified for Europa group stage via Coppa Italia), 16-13-9, 61 points



7th

Fiorentina - A slew of signings have the Viola looking up this year.  Emiliano Viviano comes over from Palermo to replace the aging Boruc between the pipes.  A quartet of difference makers (Borja Valero, Alberto Aquilani, Gonzalo Rodriguez, Matias Fernandez) enter Serie A looking to turn heads and help Fiorentina shock the league.  They could knock off a lot of top teams when they're at their best.  

2011:  13th, 11-13-14, 46 points

Key Arrivals:  Valero, Aquilani, Rodriguez, Fernandez, Viviano
Key Departures:  Valon Behrami, Boruc, Riccardo Montolivo      

8th

Udinese - After a season of defying all expectations, Udinese will go back to their old ways.  There are some big shoes to fill after losing stud netminder Samir Handanovic to Inter.  In comes Zeljko Brkic, the Siena keeper, expected to be between the sticks from day one.

Antonio Di Natale is truly the ageless wonder.  At age 34, he's coming off a spectacular 55 point season (24 goals, 7 assists in all competitions)  I believe he could have another 50-point effort this time around.  Luis Muriel comes from Lecce and looks to be a great partner for Di Natale.

However, they have lost their centerpieces, as Isla and Asamoah departed to Juventus.  

They have no easy task facing off against Braga in the CL playoffs.  They should be an early exit from CL play, even if they get past the Portugeese side.

2011:  3rd (Qualified for CL playoffs), 18-10-10, 64 points

Key Additions:  Brkic, Muriel, Willans (Flamengo), Davide Faraoni (Inter) 
Key Departures:  Isla, Asamoah, Handanovic  



MID-TABLE
9th

Genoa - A rather unpredictable team this year, as the club seems to create superstars, only to have to sell them off before their prime.  This was the case again, and it looks to have another young group of talent to work with.  Could see them fight for Europe or fight to stay up.  This is my dark horse, as I think they could take care of lower teams, and steal points from anyone a class above them.

2011:  17th, 11-9-18, 42 points

Key Additions:   Ciro Immobile (on loan from Pescara)
Key Departures:  Miguel Veloso (Dinamo Kiev), Rodrigo Palacio (Inter)

10th

Catania - The set-piece wonder and captain Francesco Lodi is back and helped carry them to an impressively strong season.  I don't see them faltering this year, and should stay consistent in form.  Alberto Frison should be an improvement in goal.

2011:  11th, 11-15-12, 48 points

Key Additions:  Frison (Vicenza)
Key Departures:  None



11th

Parma - They lost their sole star in little Giovinco last year, and it'll be tough to replace him.  They have brought in a few young players to help Parma stay relevant, and should be relatively comfortable staying in Serie A.

2011:  8th, 15-11-12. 56 points

Key Additions:  Johnathon Biabiany (Sampdoria), Sotiris Ninis (Panathinaikos), 
Key Departures:  Giovinco



12th

Chievo - Losing Michael Bradley was a harsh blow, as he surprised many by being one of the best midfielders in all of Italy.  Now he's at Roma, and there's still a gap that needs to be filled at CM.  

2011:  10th, 12-13-13, 49 points

Key Additions:  None
Key Departures:  Bradley, Francesco Acerbi (AC Milan)



RELEGATION FIGHT
13th

Atalanta - Without the points deduction they would have finished 9th last year.  They have a solid team, and have spent this offseason.  This position may drop, due to the match-fixing scandal.

2011:  12th, 13-13-12 (-6), 46 points 

Key Additions:  Luca Cigarini (Napoli), German Denis (Udinese)
Key Departures:  Cristiano Doni (retired)   



14th

Palermo - There is unhappiness running rampant throughout the club, and their players have voiced their desires to move elsewhere.  They are on the outside looking in after a terrible season, and nothing looks promising.  They spent 10.6 million euros on 18-year-old Paulo Dybala, he's an investment in their future.  

2011:  16th, 11-10-17, 43 points

Key Additions:  Dybala
Key Departures:  Emiliano Viviano (on loan), Matias Silvestre (on loan), Mattia Cassani (Fiorentina), Mauricio Pinilla (Cagliari), Federico Balzaretti (Roma)



15th

Torino - These guys have been here plenty before.  They've spent in the offseason, and I think there will be football next year in the Olympic city.

2011:  2nd (Serie B), 24-11-7, 83 points

Key Additions:  Alessandro Gazzi (Siena), Gianluca Sassone (Sassoulo), Jean-Francois Gillet (Bologna) 
Key Departures:  Mirko Antenucci (Catania)



16th

Sampdoria - They're back, and new boss Ciro Ferrara has spent hoping to keep Samps up in the Serie A after a spectacular playoff run to promotion.  They've brought in some valuable players on loan, and have held on to a nice core group of players, and will be in a relegation fight all season.

2011:  6th (Serie B, promoted via playoffs), 17-16-9, 67 points

Key Additions:  Marcelo Estigarribia (CD Maldonado), Lorenzo di Silvestri (Fiorentina), Maxi Lopez (Catania), Eder (Cesena), Renan (CFR Cluj)
Key Departures:  Daniele Dessena (Cagliari)



17th

Cagliari - They've lost a lot of what they had, however they've brought in some South Americans that could help them BARELY squeak by in the end.

2011:  15th, 10-13-15, 43 points

Key Additions:  Thiago Ribiero (CA Rentistas), Mauricio Pinilla (Palermo), Daniele Dessena (Sampdoria) 
Key Departures:  Michele Canini (Genoa), Moestafa El-Khabir (Mjallby AIF)



RELEGATION
18th

Siena - The loss of Siena superstar Mattia Destro will hurt, as he was their first 12-goal scorer under-21 since 1971.  If the owners don't spend to replace him, they will find themselves back in Serie B next year.

2011:  14th, 11-11-16, 44 points

Key Additions:  Neto (CD Nacional Funchal)
Key Departures:  Destro (Roma)



19th

Bologna - Italian legend Marco di Vaio left to go play in the MLS, and they haven't done much in the offseason to keep them afloat.  This is my dark horse for relegation, but they have potential to finish as high as 12th.

2011:  9th, 13-12-13, 51 points

Key Additions:  Marco Motta (Juventus), Gianluca Curci (Roma), Tibiero Guarente (Sevilla)
Key Departures:  di Vaio (Montreal Impact), Gaby Mudingayi (Inter), Jean-Francois Gillet (Torino)


20th

Pescara - They've made money in their transfer season.  As a newly promoted team, the ideal situation is to "spend money to make money" in order to survive.  I just don't have confidence in this squad, and feel like they'll be back in Serie B next year.  I have them in last, but I believe the bottom 5 will be close, within 6 points, so they could very well survive, but it'll be a fight.  Losing their superstar Marco Verratti to PSG hurts, and maybe they'll make some more moves by the end of the summer or in January.  They've loaned other stars as well.


2011:  1st (Serie B), 26-5-11, 83 points

Key Additions:  Vladamir Weiss (Manchester City), Mattia Perin (loan, Genoa) 
Key Departures:  Verratti, Ciro Immobile (loan, Genoa), Lorenzo Insigne (loan, Napoli)   







Matchday 1 Predictions:


Saturday August 25th


Fiorentina 2:1 Udinese

Juventus 1:1 Parma


Sunday August 26th


AC Milan 3:0 Sampdoria

Roma 2:0 Catania

Atalanta 1:3 Lazio

Chievo 1:0 Bologna

Genoa 2:0 Cagliari

Palermo 0:0 Napoli

Siena 0:2 Torino

Pescara 1:3 Inter