Monday, August 13, 2012

English Premier League: Team-by-team Preview and Matchday 1 Predictions





For many years, the English Premier League has undoubtedly been the fan favorite around the world.  While not always being the best, the endless drama of the EPL and passion of the English supporters have always captured the public eye.  Transfer rumors are always abuzz twelve months of the year, and this year has proved no different.  

Last year is being hailed as the greatest season ever, and the expectations couldn't be higher.  After United seemed to have won the title on QPR's shock 2-1 lead over City, the blue side of Manchester pulled out two goals in stoppage time from Dzeko and Aguero to shock the world.  As a United fan, I still got tears in my eyes not from disappointment, but from the pure ecstasy of the moment.  That QPR-City match had all the elements of what sports are truly all about.

We welcome back Reading, Southampton and West Ham back to the party this year, as we bid farewell to Bolton, Blackburn and Wolves.  Who will stay up, who will be champions, and who is going back to the Championship?


1st

MANCHESTER UNITED - The Reds lost on goal differential last year, and much had to do with the lack of creativity in the midfield.  Paul Scholes came out of retirement last year to help, but in the end it proved not enough.  Enter Shinji Kagawa, who not only is a beast in the midfield, but a constant goal-scoring threat as well.  He is a perfect fit, not only on the field, but in cornering the Asian market, as they have let Park Ji-Sung move to QPR.  We'll see if Nick Powell can make a difference as well.  

Their defense looks to be boosted, as Vidic comes back for the first time in eight months, and Jonny Evans may be ready for opening day.  They will be without Chris Smalling for ten weeks due to a metatarsal injury.

Attacking options are many, as Chicharito, Bebe, Mecheda and Berbatov are all fantastic options behind Welbeck and Rooney, and will all see playing time.  They will be strong in attack, whether they get Van Persie/Llorente or not.

Lindegaard looks to jump De Gea for their starter, although I could see them splitting lots of time.

They have to make up a lot to the fans, as last year they crashed out of the CL and Europa play.  I can see them lifting the trophy this year, and earning a double/treble.

2011:  2nd, 28-5-5, 89 points

Key Additions:  Powell (Crewe), Kagawa (Borussia Dortmund)
Key Departures:  Michael Owen (released), Park, Fabio (QPR, loan)


2nd
 MANCHESTER CITY - It doesn't get much better than what they did last year, amid much off-field drama in Tevez.  A 6-1 drubbing of their long-heralded rivals and a 2-goal comeback in stoppage time to win the title.  They will look to repeat history, and have a great chance at doing so.  They have kept nearly all their players and are bringing in more firepower.

They have stuck to their guns in keeping Euro 2012 star Mario Balotelli, despite P$G's expensive bids.  I believe that experience will humble the young phenom, and his off-field issues will deminish, while his on-field play will just get better.

I believe success depends on the health of their players.  If Kompany can stay healthy, I can see themselves duplicating last year's heroics.

They have just signed Jack Rodwell from Everton to bolster their midfield even more.  The rumor mill suggests Mancini is looking at adding Daniel Agger, Scott Sinclair and South Korean left back Yun Suk-Young.  Even without these lads, they can push their point total near/above 90, and have some business to take care of in the Champions League.  I predict either a quarterfinal or semifinal appearance.

2011:  1st, 28-5-5, 89 points

Key Additions:  Rodwell, Emmanuel Adebayor (Tottenham)
Key Departures:  Owen Hargreaves (released), Wayne Bridge (loan, Brighton)


3rd
ARSENAL - The Gunners have been much of the talk in the offseason, with an unsettled Robin Van Persie, and a trio of star signings in Podolski, Santi Corzola and Olivier Giroud.  With or without RVP, this team will avoid the early season struggles of last year.  They finished very strong to sneak into the Champions League ahead of Tottenham.  Oxlade-Chamberlain has now had time to develop and combined with Walcott will make this team the fastest in the Premiership.  

This team has top two ability, I just don't see them threatening for the title this year, but they will keep it interesting, and could do some damage in the Champions League.  A quarterfinal would seem just.

2011:  3rd, 21-7-10, 70 points

Key Additions:  Podolski (Koln), Giroud (Montpelier), Corzola (Malaga)
Key Departures:  Denilson (loan, Sao Paulo)



4th
TOTTENHAM - While the Spurs finally got themselves into the top four last year, a shock Champions League title by Chelsea knocked them out of their CL berth, which they rightfully deserved, and will be in a dogfight for this year.

Adebayor had a part of 42% of all Tottenham's goals last year, and the Spurs have help this year that will make up for his and Luka Modric's imminent departure.  I'm very high on Glyfi Sigurdsson, as he showed what he is capable of at Swansea and in preseason (notably against the Red Bulls.)  

Jan Vertonghen is a proven winner at Ajax, and will hold it down in the back.

AVB looks keen to add more firepower in either Guiseppe Rossi, Fernando Llorente, or Yann M'Vila, though M'Vila seeks the CL this year.

Look for the Spurs to challenge for the Europa trophy, and could reach the semis or better.

2011:  4th, 20-9-9. 69 points

Key Additions:  Vertonghen, Sigurdsson (Hoffenheim)
Key Departures:  Steven Pienaar (Everton), Niko Krancjar (Dynamo Kiev), Vedran Corluka (Lokomotiv Moscow), Emmanuel Adebayor (Man City)


5th

CHELSEA - After an unexpected Champions League/FA Cup double, despite struggling all year, Eden Hazard has been much of the talk of the offseason.  While the Lille man along with Marko Marin and Oscar will undoubtedly strengthen their midfield, questions arise up top.  Will their 50-million-pound investment finally pay off (Torres)?  Will either Juan Mata or Daniel Sturridge be consistently reliable up top for them this season?  Only time will tell, as for now Chelsea have more questions than answers post-Drogba.  They can either battle for the title, or battle for a CL spot.  Truly unpredictable at this point.

I see them escaping the group stage of Champions League, only to be knocked out in the Round of 16.

2011:  6th, 18-10-10, 64 points

Key Additions:  Marin, Oscar, Hazard
Key Departures:  Kalou, Drogba, Jose Bosingwa


6th

NEWCASTLE - Quite possibly the shock of the Premiership last year, only having been in the Championship two years before.  They started the season on a tear, going the first eleven games unbeaten, and they can be a forced to be reckoned with again this season.

They are 99% locks on signing Lille defender Matthieu Debuchy and are finalizing paperwork to bring in defender Vurnon Anita from Dutch-champions Ajax.

Papiss Cisse and Demba Ba are absolute monsters in attack, Cisse with 13 goals in 13 matches and Ba with 16 in 29.  Yohan Cabaye proved to be a genius signing, and they could be singing the Champions League anthem come May.

In the Europa Cup, they should be solid, a quarterfinal would be fair.  

2011:  5th, 19-8-11, 65 points

Key Additions:  Anita (Ajax, still to be officially announced)
Key Departures:  Danny Guthrie (released), Leon Best (Blackburn)


7th
LIVERPOOL - Oh Reds.  Kenny Daglish lead them to their worst finish in nearly 60 years, and they have tried to bring their fans joy in bringing in upbeat Swansea duo Joe Allen and manager Brendan Rodgers.  With a 90% passing rate, there is a lot to be excited about.  However, it may be their other new signing in Fabio Borini that may steal their headlines and be top scorer.

Andy Carroll looks to be on his way out.

If Suarez stays and can play nice, Gerrard avoids the injury bug, and they make key signings (particularly Clint Dempsey), they can finish higher... especially if Rodgers instills a winning attitude.  If things go wrong, they could be in the bottom half.

They get the chance to play in Europe, due to their League Cup triumph.  They should be able to make the quarters there.

2011:  8th, 14-10-14, 52 points

Key Additions:  Allen, Borini
Key Departures:  Dirk Kuyt (Fenerbahce, Fabio Aurielio, Alberto Aquilani (Fiorentina)


8th
QUEENS PARK RANGERS - Another year in the Premiership, another slew of signings.  This time around however, they look deadly serious.  Though barely surviving last year, they looked at times to be able to hang around with the big boys.  

They have upgraded in every area of the field, and when you add players of Manchester United's caliber in Park Ji-Sung and Fabio (on loan), you're bound to improve.

Robert Green is certainly going to be better than Paddy Kenny was for them.

Adding Fulham's Andrew Johnson could give Cisse that bit reliability he's long been seeking beside him.

If they can field a healthy XI everytime, QPR is in for a great year.

2011:  17th, 10-7-21, 37 points

Key Additions:  Park, Fabio, Johnson, Green, Samba Diakite (Nancy)
Key Departures:  None 


9th
EVERTON - David Moyes is one of the best coaches in the Prem.  He never has much, but he always gets the best out of his players.  This year will be no different.

Despite the losses of Jack Rodwell, Joseph Yobo, and Timmy Cahill, they will move forward still relatively strong in all areas of the field.  Goalkeeper Tim Howard is still one of the best out there, and will always keep the Toffees in the match.  Fellaini is always a threat in the air, and Jelavic proved himself last year.

Welcome back Steven Pienaar, a familiar face the fans will love.  We shall see if former Rangers man Steven Naismith will do well up top.  He'll get his chance.

2011:  7th, 15-11-12, 56 points

Key Additions:  Naismith, Pienaar
Key Departures:  Rodwell, Yobo, Cahill, James McFadden


10th
SUNDERLAND - Martin O'Neal led them back up from near the bottom to as high as 8th before a collapse at the end of the season, going winless in the final eight matches.  The addition of Carlos Cuellar could provide some stability in the Stadium of Light, and Frazier Campbell needs to consistently prove that he is worthy of playing at this level.  

If they score, they'll do well this season.

2011:  13th, 11-12-15, 45 points

Key Additions:  Cuellar (Aston Villa)
Key Departures:  Michael Turner (Norwich), Asamoah Gyan (Al Ain)


11th
READING - Man, I love that they're not only back in the Prem, but they bring a nice lookin squad in as well.  Remember when Steve Sidwell was the heart and soul of the club? 

They bring in plenty of EPL veterans to help them finish mid-table right out of the gate.  Notably Pavel Pogbrenyak and Danny Guthrie.


They had the best defense in the Championship last season, and could give a bunch of the top-tier teams a lot of trouble.  They are obviously a resilient bunch, going from relegation early in the season to on top of the second tier.

Can Adam Le Fondre produce at the highest level?

2011:  Championship winners

Key Additions:  Guthrie (Newcastle), Pogbrenyak (Fulham), Nickey Shorie (WBA)
Key Departures:  None


12th
FULHAM - This team is a little bit of a mess at the moment.  The Clint Dempsey war is sure to be a distraction, and they've lost some star power and familiar faces.  If they are able to keep Dempsey, obviously this ranking will jump up. 

However, Hugo Rodallega could make Fulham fans forget a little bit, as he is sure to be a star for the Cottagers.

2011:   14-10-14, 52 points

Key Additions:  Rodallega (Wigan), Mladen Petric (Hamburg)
Key Departures:  Pogrenyak (Reading), Andrew Johnson (QPR), Danny Murphy (Blackburn)


13th
WEST BROM - This team impressed enough to earn Roy Hodgson the England job, can they do it under new manager Steve Clark?  He's never managed before, and a lot of pressure will be on him early.

Ben Foster should provide some stability between the sticks, and if Peter Odemwingie can be as successful as he was last year, they should stick around for another campaign.  


They acquired Romelu Lukaku on loan, and subsequently put Chris Wood for sale.  We'll see if  his Chelsea experience has any major effects on their defense.  

2011:  10th, 13-8-17, 47 points

Key Additions:  Lukaku, Markus Rosenberg (Werder Bremen)
Key Departures:  Wood (still for sale), Nickey Shorey, Keith Andrews (Bolton), Paul Sharner


14th
SWANSEA - The Swans impressed the entire league with their display of passing under manager Brendan Rodgers.  Zyfli Sigurdsson and Joe Allen were the centerpieces that helped them to a near top-10 finish in their first season back in the Prem.

Well, this year, none of them will be back.  Danny Graham has to keep up his workload and perhaps improve on his impressive 12 goals last year.

The only good news is that they can afford to spend now, whether they will or not we shall see.  

Michel Vorm was a star with 14 clean sheets and will give them a chance to stay up. 

2011:   11th, 12-11-15

Key Additions:  Johnathon de Guzman (Villareal, on loan)
Key Departures:  Sigurdsson, Allen


15th
NORWICH CITY - Americans link Norwich to Zak Whitbread.  He has since been released.  However, they bring in stud defender Michael Turner to the squad.  That alone can help em stay up in a gritty relegation fight.

Grant Holt is an absolute star, scoring 15 goals last season.  He has 80 professional goals in 4 years and he has truly earned his stripes, starting in League 2 and working himself up the ladder every year.  Unfortunately, he is quite reckless, as he has accumulated 34 cautions and 3 expulsions in that same time.

Steven Whittaker comes over in a free transfer not wanting to be a Rangers victim.

2011  12th, 12-11-15, 47 points

Key Additions:  Turner, Whittaker
Key Departures:  Whitbread


16th
SOUTHAMPTON - The newcomers are gonna have to grit it out to stay afloat in 2012/13.  They have a plethora of goal scorers, including Rickie Lambert with 27, giving him 107 in 5 years.  He's never had a season with less than 21, and he will be crucial to their success.  They acquired Billy Sharp last year, and he had 19 as well.  Their offensive firepower may be enough to earn a few shock results.

Former Ranger Steven Davis may provide composure in the middle third, as few guys have any top flight experience.

2011:  2nd in Championship

Key Additions:  Davis
Key Losses:  None


17th

ASTON VILLA - Their motto is "prepared", the Claret and Blue should be prepared to struggle mightily this season.  They struggled to stay healthy, as many of their players went down to injury last season, including forwards Darren Bent and Gabby Agbonlahor.  

However, if anyone knows how to have success, it's new manager Paul Lambert.  With Norwich, he led them to consecutive promotions from League One to the EPL, the first time that had been done in 11 years (Manchester City.)  When he was the manager at League Two Wycombe, he led them to the League Cup semifinals, defeating Prem sides Fulham and Charlton, and earning a draw against Chelsea in the first leg of the final four.  

2011:  16th, 7-17-14, 35 points

Key Additions:  Karim El Ahmadi (Feyenoord)
Key Departures:  Carlos Cuellar, Emile Heskey


18th
WEST HAM - The Hammers being back in the top flight is definitely a welcome sight.  They lost Robert Green to QPR, and there will be a keeper battle all season between former Bolton man Jussi Jaaskelainen or young Pompey netminder Steven Henderson.

Modibo Maiga comes over from Ligue 1 Sochaux, where he tallied 24 goals in 58 matches.  

Ricardo Vaz Te has struggled in the Prem before, but broke out last year for 22 goals.  Carlton Cole is somewhat reliable with a couple 10 goal top-flight seasons in the past.

They will stay up only if they can score.

2011:  3rd in Championship (won playoff)

Key Additions:  Jaaskilainen, Maiga, Henderson
Key Departures:  John Carew, Green


19th
STOKE CITY - Besides Peter Crouch (10), the Potters struggled to score last year, being the lowest scoring them in the top flight.

A lack of attacking options could prove fatal.  No spending has been made, as Tony Pulis has been told to sell before he buys.

Last year was their worst since they were promoted, and this year isn't looking promising.  They released fan favorites Ricardo Fuller and Salif Diao.

Key Additions:  Jamie Ness (Rangers)
Key Departures:  Fuller, Diao, Johnathon Woodgate (Middlesborough)


20th
WIGAN - These guys won't be as bad as Derby was in 2007-08, but they won't have another Martinez miracle like last year where they won 7 of their last 9.  

They've let Rodallega, Diame and Kirkland leave, and have done little to replace them.  They are lucky to have one of the most underrated goalkeepers in the league in Ali Al-Habsi, cause he will likely get pelted this season.

Can Victor Moses step up and not be the off and on striker of last year?

EDIT:  Arouna Kone signed today (August 14th), and could push their ranking slightly higher.

 2011:   15th, 11-10-17, 43 points

Key Additions:  Arouna Kone
Key Departures:  Rodallega (Fulham), Kirkland (Sheffield Wednesday), Diame (West Ham)





WEEK 1 PREDICTIONS



Aresnal 2:0 Sunderland

Fulham 1:1 Norwich

QPR 2:0 Swansea

Reading 2:1 Stoke

West Brom 1:2 Liverpool

West Ham 3:1 Aston Villa

Newcastle 0:1 Tottenham
 Wigan 0:4 Chelsea

Man City 3:1 Southampton

Everton 1:3 Man United 
   
   
   
 
 
 
 

  
 

  
    
  

       

3 comments:

  1. No way on earth arsenal will finish above chelsea and thats just common sense. Last year was just a one off for chelsea finishing 5th because AVB had the place in turmoil. Once di Matteo comes in they win FA cup & Champions League double. Not to mention they have strengthened over the summer with far better signings than Arsenal who havent done anything in donkeys years and will do extremely well to clinch champions league after being a oneman team last year ( dont even know if RVP will be there this year). Stoke City are the hardest team in the premier league to beat at home and theres no chance theyre going down, that home form will keep them up regardless of away resulys , as has been the case the last few years. Decent blog but your predictions are worthy of a down syndrome

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "because AVB had the place in turmoil. Once di Matteo comes in they win FA cup & Champions League double."

      AVB had a better league record than Di Matteo and it doesn't take much tactical managing to pack 9 guys behind the ball.

      Use facts instead of insinuating mental illness.

      Delete
  2. Ha Stoke are my dark horse for relegation. I love watching the Potters myself and are well aware of their home strength. However you can't win unless you score. They don't have a good enough defense to overcome their lack of scoring.

    I don't believe in Chelsea's front line. I want Torres to be a 20 goal scorer but I'm afraid for him. He's riding a high and maybe he'll be able to translate that into the EPL again. If he does than yes, Chelsea overtakes Arsenal.

    ReplyDelete